[ad_1]
Some seem unlikely to change.
Zali Steggal (who has said that he is not receiving funds from the 200 weather, despite appearing on the organization’s website) has had Warringah since 2019, and extended his margin to more than 10 percent of the elections.
While neither Helen Haines nor Andrew Wilkie run under bluish green banners, both prefer orange tones, both are supported by climate 200.
Indi, where Haines has a margin of almost 9 percent, has voted independent since 2013, and Wilkie has been Clark’s deputy for a long time before the 200 weather existed. With a margin of more than 20 percent, his is one of the safest seats in the country.
While the Australian Electoral Commission has listed the Allegra Spender of Wentworth as ultra marginal, electoral analysts have their margin somewhere between 6 and 9 percent.
Curtin, on the other hand, will be a battle for Kate Chaney, whose grandfather and uncle, Fred Chaney Senior and Junior, were major liberal politicians, to retain with only one margin of 1.32 percent.
It is considered the most likely bluish green electorate to change color this year.
Others are also in the air, but the exact margins are difficult to judge due to redistribution.
Zoe Daniel will face the former Liberal Assistant Minister Tim Wilson in Goldstein de Melbourne, and on the beaches of Northern Sydney, Sophie Scammps, he is being challenged by James Brown for Mackellar.
The AEC has the margin for both listed as 1.8 percent, which indicates that both could be genuine coins, but most independent analysts are putting the figure for each around the range of mid -3 percent.
The state of Kooyong, currently held by Monique Ryan (who defeated the then treasurer Josh Frydenberg in 2022), is even more debated.
According to the AEC, the margin is 2.5 percent, similar to the estimate presented by Antony Green of ABC (2.2 percent), but others vary from only 0.1 percent to an increase of around 4 percent.
In any case, it is a seat that liberals would love to recover, and have nominated Amelia Hamer, the grandmother of former Victorian Prime Minister Sir Rupert Hamer, to do exactly that.
The redistribution has cost Crossbench One MP, with the abolition of North Sydney leaving Kylea Tink without a seat to compete.
At the same time, you can deliver a replacement. The neighbor Bradfield has absorbed large parts of the electorate who voted for Tink, and has a blue green candidate in Nicolette Boele.
She lost her seat to the moderate liberal of A Hacl Fletcher in 2022, but he does not run again, since she announced her retirement from politics at the end of last year.
Without a titular MP, there is a true possibility that Bradfield can fall to the crossing this year.
It was the only liberal seat throughout the country that voted in favor of the voice to Parliament, without a doubt a reason why the party presents the local executive Gisele Kapterian about the prominent activist without Warren Mundine activist.
The 200 climate is throwing its support behind dozens more of candidates: the self -denominated “Maroon Independent” is challenging the opposition leader Peter Dutton in Queensland, for example, but the two most prone to break with the Parliament are Alex Dyson and Caz Heise.
Both are departures of the 2022 Green Green Standard, since they are running in seats away from the city centers.
Former Triple J presenter, Dyson, challenges the liberal front Dan Tehanon for Wannon in western Victoria, while lawyer Heise faces National Pat Conaghan in Cowper, which extends to Coffs Harbor and Port Macquarie on the north coast of NSW.
Both directed their opponents near 2022, and need changes of only 3.5 and 2.4 percent respectively to go one step further this time.
In other places, the independents are longer.
Kate Hook is running in what is coming as a three -way fight for Calare with the deputy sitting Andrew Gee, who was chosen as national, but was independent about her position on the voice to Parliament, and the new candidate of the nationals Sam Farraway.
The Erchana Murray-Bartlettt marathon runner is looking to capitalize on the withdrawal of former Liberal Minister Karen Andrews in McPherson, and Victorian Father of the year, Ben Smith hopes to win flinders, but both would be surprise winners.
Another independent controlled seat worth seeing is Monash, although it is certainly not bluish green territory.
Similar to Calare, he was won by a deputy of the coalition in 2022: Liberal Russell Broadbent, who has been in Parliament since 1990.
Like Gee, Broadbent resigned from his group, this time in 2023 after he lost the seat preselection against executive Mary Aldred.
He has announced that he will run again in what will be his 14th federal election, raising a potential wrinkle for the coalition in what is notionally a liberal seat.
[ad_2]
Source link
