Definitely rejected coalition in Australia

The definite feature of the 2025 federal elections in Australia for me is that the Dutton model of the vacancy in future policies, and the stuffed policies have now been deeply rejected. The preference vote is underway. But labor has already increased the majority in the low camera. It seems that it will also be in a much better position in the Senate – but not in the majority.

At 0830 nzst, these are the results of ABC.net.au. Note that there are still 19 seats to call a definitive result in preferences and recounts at the moment. But a confirmed and substantive majority already.

It also plunges the liberal party in leadership chaos, while Peter Dutton lost his seat to Labour’s French.

Low camera

The Senate had 40 seats for elections in 76 years. Continuing means that the seat was not ready for the elections.

Probably the 4 independent, and between 9 and 11 green, as well as a substantial coalition, will leave the Senate without work with a clear majority. However, the work has substantially increased by its previous 25 seats, the coalition had a substantial drop in relation to the previous 30 seats, and the green can keep their 11 previous ones. Even with the discussion between the Senate and the Greens work, it facilitates the approval of the legislation and accelerate Senate progress.

Although the deliberate lack of details in poorly formed coalition policies probably hurt them, it was probably the symbolic framework of which policies had during the campaign that really turned off the electorate. When framed against instability, political and economic chaos in the US and post-Brexit in the United Kingdom, the complaint policy seems to turn off the voters in Canada and Australia.

Since ABC “How the work sculpted a way to the victory of the landslide,” the entire direction of the liberal campaign does not seem to have convinced the voters -target.

Peter Dutton’s electoral strategy directed “Australian forgotten in the suburbs,” and his campaign stopped after stopping gas stations to sell voters at his fuel consumption cut.

But in Dutton’s hometown of Brisbane, the coalition suffered an impressive repudiation exactly in the types of areas he was aiming.

The liberal party’s night went from bad to worse when it became clear that the leader himself would lose his own place, Dickson, as well as Petrie and Bonner – two more voters on the city’s external banks.

Longman and Ford are also likely to follow the path of work.

In the city center, the work is designed to seek Brisbane and Griffith of the Greens, significantly eroding the gains of the party less than 2022.

In Sydney, the coalition once again could not regain any of the external suburban seats that was aiming.

Instead, the Labor Party took three marginal seats from the suburbs – Bennelong, Banks and Hughes – on the back of at least 6 % balance sheets.

This trend in the coalition directed seats, with some exceptions, continued throughout the country.

Also notable that this election is where the ‘Ceréfilos’ candidates not only won against the coalition candidates, but also did so in the primary votes. Both in the existing seats they kept, but it also seems that they can gain preferences in other seats.

Support for independent candidates has increased once again across the country, and many of the independents who invaded Parliament by 2022 improved their winning margins.

“All these ‘fences’ won from second place last time,” says ABC electoral analyst Antony Green.

“This time, they are winning from first place.”

And there is a decent chance that they can still join some extra bench.

In short, in the House of Representatives, there was a landslide to work and the ‘fences’ in the primary votes, mainly extracted from the coalition votes. The green seem to have kept their position in large part. But the coalition, especially the liberal party, is clearly out of contact with voters in 2025.

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