There is the possibility that no one really wins federal elections.
The surveys show that a minority government or the ‘hung’ parliament is a possibility, which means that the leaders of the main parties (work and the liberal/national coalition) will have to obtain the support of transversal sufficient, composed of independents, green and members of other minor parties, to form the government.
Paul Williams, associate professor of politics and journalism at Griffith University, said: “This time we are looking at the minority government barrel.”
Graeme Orr, an electoral law expert at the University of Queensland, said that when the main vote of the main parties fell below 30 percent, there was a greater possibility that politicians who were not members of the main parties would be elected.
“I think we have to be more adults about it and accept the fact that not only [will there be] More minority governments in Australia … [also] He needs parts to adapt to this idea of negotiating, “he said.
Both parties obtained more than 45 percent of the main vote in 1984, but these figures are in a downward trend. Fountain: SBS news
How do you win a choice?
The easiest way to form a government is to win most seats in the House of Representatives, also known as the Lower House.
In this choice, 150 seats will be played and 76 seats will be needed for a direct majority.
But get less seats that this can still lead to a party being in power if you can get the support of enough twist to reach at least 76 seats.
What does ‘supply and trust’ mean?
The lowest support that minor parties and independents can offer a government is trust and supply.
This guarantees that they will support the Government if a motion of “without trust” is introduced in Parliament and will vote for appropriation law that allow the government to spend money, also known as “supply.”
“The only thing that can demolish a government that otherwise has numbers is whether it cannot obtain the budget through Parliament,” said Orr.
He said that parliamentarians would reserve the right to block another legislation with which they did not agree.
Neither the Labor nor the coalition obtained enough seats to reach the majority in 2010. Fountain: SBS news
How does the policy of a government minority change?
According to a majority government, negotiations to approve legislation occur mainly in the Senate, but in a minority government, there must also be conversations in the lower house to ensure support.
“Most people do not like the idea of a hung parliament or a minority government because the first thing they think is uncertainty, unpredictability,” Williams said.
Are minority governments rare?
The first three governments in Australia were minority governments in an era before the established parties or coalitions.
But before 2010, there had not been a minority government for 70 years.
“We had a minority government partly in the Turnbull area, but also in the Gillard era. It is becoming more common because less and fewer people are locked up to vote, whether liberal or national labor,” said Orr.
Are minority governments bad?
Minority governments are more frequent worldwide, even in New Zealand, which chooses parliamentarians through proportional representation. Seven of the last 10 governments have been a minority.
Richard Shaw, a professor of politics at the University of Massey in New Zealand, said he does not cause problems.
“You wouldn’t look at it from Australia, you would look at us, and think: ‘My God, that mafia, are a model of constitutional instability and political agitation,” he said.
“You know, things are still happening.
“No government has lost a vote of trust. No government lost a budget vote. Governments lose votes about legislation regularly, but constitutionally, nothing happens. It is rarely a political crisis.”
It also allows more information about the proposed laws, Shaw said.
“I think the advantages are that it has more views at the cabinet table, and if they are not at the cabinet table, then they are in ministerial positions outside the cabinet.
“So more variety, I suppose, more diversity, more voters who see their views represented in the government.”
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